January 12th, 2010

Warm 2010?!

Hard as it is to imagine, in these freezing temperatures, but the Met Office have forecast that 2010 will be a warmer year globally than 2009. Last year is being anticipated (once statistics are finalised) to be the fifth warmest on record.

Each December and January the Met Office issues a forecast of the global surface temperature for the coming year. It takes into account contributing factors such as increasing gas concentrations, the cooling influences of industrial particles, solar effects, volcanic changes and natural variations of the oceans.

Obviously, this forecast is open to change, but within the last 10 years the Met Office predictions have only had a 0.06c margin of error.

Snow

December 12th, 2009

Undermining Copenhagen

Is it only me, or is it massively suspicious that this week, of all weeks we hear that the validity of 160 years worth of Met Office temperature data is under question?

Apparently, we are led to believe, that this controversy was started due to leaked emails. It appears that it will take 3 years for the re-examination of the findings, so only by 2012 will the information have any perceivable credibility.  The Met Office database is one of three main sources used by the UN to analyze climate change and was to be the foundation of the talks in Copenhagen this week

The timing plays straight into the hands of countries such as America and Australia, who are concerned that unrealistic CO2 emission cuts will be introduced at the summit.